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Who Will Take Home Those Gold Statuettes? Predictions for the 2023 Academy Awards

by Sarah Soliman

Hollywood has spent the past several weeks honoring some of the best films of 2022. Months of campaigns, interviews, red carpets, and awards given out by different guilds, all lead up to film’s big night, the Academy Awards. It’s been an exciting season, and questions remain about who will take home two of the biggest awards — Best Supporting Actress and Best Actor.

The British Academy Film Awards and the Screen Actors Guild Awards, two of the most important Oscar precursors, honored four different actors across those two categories. Jamie Lee Curtis won the SAG award for her role in Everything Everywhere All at Once, while Kerry Condon took home the BAFTA for The Banshees of Inisherin. Elvis’ Austin Butler was BAFTA’s Best Actor, SAG went to The Whale’s Brendan Fraser.

There’s something special about an Oscar night when some of the biggest races don’t seem to be a forgone conclusion. It gives the ceremony an extra sprinkle of magic, especially for those of us who love movies and love to discuss which films and performances have meant the most to us from the past year.

Here’s a look at the nominees in some of the big categories, and, with the help of awards prediction site Gold Derby, some guesses at who will take home those gold statuettes.

Best Picture:

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All at Once

The Fabelmans

Tár

Top Gun: Maverick

Triangle of Sadness

Women Talking

Predicted winner: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Director:

Todd Field, Tár

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness

Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

Predicted winner: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Actress:

Cate Blanchett, Tár

Ana de Armas, Blonde

Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie

Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted winner: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Actor:

Austin Butler, Elvis

Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

Brendan Fraser, The Whale

Paul Mescal, Aftersun

Bill Nighy, Living

Predicted winner: Austin Butler, Elvis

Best Supporting Actress:

Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Hong Chau, The Whale

Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin

Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted winner: Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Best Supporting Actor:

Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin

Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway

Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans

Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin

Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted winner: Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

We’ll find out for sure tonight. Enjoy the Oscars!